Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Brown Wednesday

"Do you have any idea what a pathetic figure you cut today?"
David Cameron to Gordon Brown

Rarely these days do I blog about national politics- there are many more eloquent, better informed bloggers than I offering commentary on British politics. However, Brown's latest u turn is extraordinary and must surely have implications for next weeks local elections. When canvassing over the weekend, electors on the doorstep rarely talked to me about the abolition of the 10p tax rate. However today all that changed with Brown's u-turn today- this evening almost everyone with almost any political views at all seemed to mention it.
His climbdown today and his assertion that he hadn't been pushed around by his MPs when he clearly had will do nothing to reduce his reputation for dithering and drift. Over the weekend, fresh from the relative success of his US visit, Brown experinced something of a bounce. Can't imagine that is going to continue...
We are also now amazingly close to the local elections next Thursday. Postal votes have now been issued in the city. The question is, is time running out for Labour in Southampton?


Anonymous Anonymous said...

The thing is though Matt is that with Labour having such a bad time recently how come Labour poll ratings went up last weekend. Surely the point is that Cameron isn't able to push home the advantage?

4:47 pm  
Blogger Matt Dean said...

I would agree with that but breaking news on the Daily Telegraph site is that the Tories lead as of today is at a 21 year high on 44% vs Labour's 26 %. That said You Gov tend to over-estimate Tory support compared to the median of polls and ICM (who survey for The Guardian) conversley tend to exagerate support for Labour.

8:43 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

shit thursday,

9:54 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Labour will hold out on a GE due to their low poll rating.

Locally Labour have always outperformed the national trend at local elections but I cant see that happening this year.

I predict June Bridle to lose her seat and Peartree to go blue along with Swaythling.

I believe the Lib Dems will fall to single digit numbers and just in time for our re-launch in Southampton.

1:38 am  

Post a Comment

<< Home